GEORGE L. SAIGER, M.D.
The purpose of this presentation is to demonstrate how the probability of a diagnostic error can be measured or controlled when population values are known. An example follows.
Gertler and co-workers (1, 2) reported on the clinical aspects of coronary heart disease in 100 persons who experienced a "pure" myocardial infarction prior to age 40. The presence of myocardial infarction was established by clinical history and electrocardiogram. The sampling of these persons was not restricted to any single geographic area, and observations were made subsequent to the attacks. Concomitant studies also were performed on 146 men who showed no evidence
SAIGER GL. Observations on the Probability of Error in Medical Diagnosis. Ann Intern Med. ;56:860–864. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-56-6-860
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Published: Ann Intern Med. 1962;56(6):860-864.
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