Gary S. Collins, PhD; Johannes B. Reitsma, MD, PhD; Douglas G. Altman, DSc; Karel G.M. Moons, PhD
Disclosures: Authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest. Forms can be viewed at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConflictOfInterest Forms.do?msNum=M14-0697.
Collins GS, Reitsma JB, Altman DG, Moons KG. Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD). Ann Intern Med. 2015;162:735-736. doi: 10.7326/L15-5093-2
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Published: Ann Intern Med. 2015;162(10):735-736.
The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Statement concerns prediction models that are developed for diagnosis or prognosis. We believe that the additional type of prediction that Dr. Burke refers to as “risk prediction” is subsumed within the prognostic framework. Prognostic models as referred to in TRIPOD predict a certain health condition (such as death, a disease, a complication, a recurrent event, or any other outcome) over a specified period in participants at risk for this condition. Therefore, prognostic models may address ill or healthy persons, such as by predicting the 1-year probability of dying for a patient with lung cancer or the long-term (for example, 10-year) probability of cardiovascular disease for a healthy person.
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