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Crystal-balling futurology is not an exact science, but those concerned with health policy indulge in this pastime more often than others. As the title implies, Health in 1980-1990 reports an ambitious attempt to predict where health care will be a decade hence. In a dozen pithy chapters, it summarizes the results of a two-year study, begun in 1970, which employed the RAND Corporation's so-called Delphi technique (a kind of intellectual blind man's buff) as a means of synthesizing the intuitive judgments of 62 experts from 19 countries. The Henry Durant Institute (the research arm of the International Red Cross) served
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Health in 1980-1990. A Predictive Study Based on an International Inquiry.. Ann Intern Med. 1975;82:291. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-82-2-291_1
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Published: Ann Intern Med. 1975;82(2):291.
Copyright © 2017 American College of Physicians. All Rights Reserved.
Print ISSN: 0003-4819 | Online ISSN: 1539-3704
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