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Clinical judgment includes the ability to interpret evidence properly; such interpretations must consider both the information provided by new data and the relative likelihoods of the various diagnoses before the new evidence was known. The principles of probability theory, such as Bayes' rule, can be used to structure these interpretations. Although this brief, clearly written monograph might introduce the reader to some of these quantitative methods, it introduces several biases and misconceptions that limit its usefulness for practicing physicians.
The examples are well chosen and emphasize that this technique can be applied to all manner of clinical data, not just
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Beyond Normality: The Predictive Value and Efficiency of Medical Diagnoses.. Ann Intern Med. 1977;86:513. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-86-4-513_1
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Published: Ann Intern Med. 1977;86(4):513.
Copyright © 2017 American College of Physicians. All Rights Reserved.
Print ISSN: 0003-4819 | Online ISSN: 1539-3704
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